国债政策对经济增长的作用机制——基于金融发展的计量检验
Study of the Function Mechanism of Treasury Policy in Economic Growth:Based on Empirical Test Financial Devolvement
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摘要: 改革开放以来,投资成为中国经济增长的有力支撑点,并逐渐形成以投资带动的经济增长模式.这一模式的形成,国债政策发挥了重要作用.国债作为一种金融产品,其发行和交易的前提条件是金融机构的建立、金融体系的健全,并通过金融发展渠道发挥对经济增长的作用.理论分析与实证检验都表明,"国债政策-金融发展-经济增长"渠道对我国经济增长所起作用是十分重要的.要充分发挥国债在我国经济增长中的作用,就必须大力完善金融体系,促进金融发展.Abstract: Since the initiation of the reform and opening up,investment has become a strong pillar,and gradually formed the investment-led economic growth model in China's economic growth.Treasury policy has played an important role in the formation of this model. As a financial product,a precondition for investment and deal in bonds is the establishment of financial institutions and the sound financial system.Its policy plays a role on economic growth through the channels of financial development.Theoretical analysis and empirical test show that this channel of "the treasury policy-financial development-economic growth" is important.It is necessary to vigorously improve the financial system and promote financial development so that the treasury policy is given full play to in China's economic growth.
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