刘小静, 张也, 王宏. 中国健美操世界冠军培养的社会生态时序模型研究基于生态系统理论的时序协同分析[J]. 南昌航空大学学报(社会科学版), 2025, 27(2): 83-93. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2096-8574.2025.02.011
引用本文: 刘小静, 张也, 王宏. 中国健美操世界冠军培养的社会生态时序模型研究基于生态系统理论的时序协同分析[J]. 南昌航空大学学报(社会科学版), 2025, 27(2): 83-93. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2096-8574.2025.02.011
Xiaojing LIU, Ye ZHANG, Hong WANG. Social Ecological Time Series Model of Cultivating World Aerobics Champions in ChinaTime-series Collaboration Analysis Based on Ecosystem Theory[J]. JOURNAL OF NANCHANG HANGKONG UNIVERSITY(SOCLAL SCIENCES), 2025, 27(2): 83-93. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2096-8574.2025.02.011
Citation: Xiaojing LIU, Ye ZHANG, Hong WANG. Social Ecological Time Series Model of Cultivating World Aerobics Champions in ChinaTime-series Collaboration Analysis Based on Ecosystem Theory[J]. JOURNAL OF NANCHANG HANGKONG UNIVERSITY(SOCLAL SCIENCES), 2025, 27(2): 83-93. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2096-8574.2025.02.011

中国健美操世界冠军培养的社会生态时序模型研究基于生态系统理论的时序协同分析

Social Ecological Time Series Model of Cultivating World Aerobics Champions in ChinaTime-series Collaboration Analysis Based on Ecosystem Theory

  • 摘要: 社会生态系统理论作为一种以社会、经济、环境和技术系统为基础的理论,能够从该视角解析时间维度对运动员成长的动态影响,进而探讨中国健美操世界冠军培养的动态协同机制。通过整合1995—2024年间的赛事数据与运动员成长路径,结合时序分析法与案例研究法,揭示运动员个体发展、国际赛事周期与社会生态系统的协同规律。研究发现,世界冠军培养遵循“五阶段时序路径”与“双周期协同模型”,其核心动力源于微观系统(训练环境)、中观系统(赛事周期)与宏观系统(政策支持)的交互作用。根据研究结果构建的“社会生态时序协同模型”,为竞技体育人才培养提供了理论依据与实践范式。

     

    Abstract: As a theory based on social, economic, environmental and technological systems, social ecosystem theory can analyze the dynamic impact of time on athletes ‘growth from this perspective, and then discuss the dynamic synergy mechanism for cultivating China aerobics world champions. By integrating event data and athletes ‘growth paths from 1995 to 2024, combined with time series analysis and case studies, the collaborative laws of athletes’ individual development, international event cycles and social ecosystems are revealed. The study found that the training of world champions follows the “five-stage chronological path” and the “dual-period collaborative model”, and its core driving force stems from the interaction of the micro system (training environment), the meso system (event cycle) and the macro system (policy support). The “social ecological time-series synergy model” constructed based on research results provides theoretical basis and practical paradigm for the cultivation of competitive sports talents.

     

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