李志强, 徐廷学, 顾钧元, 刘玉东. 复杂系统相关失效分析研究综述[J]. 失效分析与预防, 2017, 12(2): 130-136. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-6214.2017.02.012
    引用本文: 李志强, 徐廷学, 顾钧元, 刘玉东. 复杂系统相关失效分析研究综述[J]. 失效分析与预防, 2017, 12(2): 130-136. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-6214.2017.02.012
    LI Zhi-qiang, XU Ting-xue, GU Jun-yuan, LIU Yu-dong. Review on Research on Dependent Failure Analysis of Complex Systems[J]. Failure Analysis and Prevention, 2017, 12(2): 130-136. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-6214.2017.02.012
    Citation: LI Zhi-qiang, XU Ting-xue, GU Jun-yuan, LIU Yu-dong. Review on Research on Dependent Failure Analysis of Complex Systems[J]. Failure Analysis and Prevention, 2017, 12(2): 130-136. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-6214.2017.02.012

    复杂系统相关失效分析研究综述

    Review on Research on Dependent Failure Analysis of Complex Systems

    • 摘要: 随着系统朝着复杂化、结构化、层次化方向发展,传统的可靠性评估与分析方法相互独立假设和二元状态假设的不足与缺陷逐渐显现出来。在设有冗余组件的复杂系统可靠性评估与分析中,相关失效分析的地位与作用越来越凸显。在引入相关失效定义与分类的基础上,对共因失效事件进行定义,并对传统故障树进行扩展。纵观相关失效的发展历程,归纳相关失效分析中5种常用方法的优缺点,包括β因子模型、基本参数模型、多希腊字母模型、α因子模型、二项失效率模型,预测今后复杂系统相关失效分析的研究方向,即不确定条件下的相关失效分析和多状态条件下的相关失效分析。

       

      Abstract: With systems developing towards complication, structuration and hierarchicalization, the deficiencies of traditional reliability assessment and analysis on the basis of independence and binary states become serious gradually. The status and impact of dependent failure analysis become more significant in reliability assessment and analysis of complex systems with redundant components. On the basis of introducing dependent failure, common cause failure is defined and applied to expand traditional fault tree. Throughout the development of dependent failure analysis, the advantages and disadvantages of five common methods concerned are summarized, including beta factor model, basic parameter model, multiple Greek letter, alpha factor model and binomial failure rate model. And the research directions of dependent failure analysis of complex systems in the future are predicted, i.e., dependent failure analysis under uncertain conditions and dependent failure analysis for multi-states systems.

       

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